Who Should Really Win At The 2014 Emmys

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Sometimes even the best shows don’t win, because Emmy politics rule all.
 

I watch a lot of TV, and when I say "a lot,"I mean it's kind of sad how much time I spend planted on the couch. Luckily, it’s my job, so no one can really judge me, but that does give me an advantage for award show predictions. Unfortunately, when it comes to award shows, it’s all about Hollywood politics and who knows how to schmooze the members of the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences. Therefore, some of the people who you really think deserve to win go home empty handed.

There are so many great TV shows on the air right now, but only one can be crowned winner. So here are my predictions of what will probably win vs. what should win this year. Please don’t yell at me when I don’t pick your favorite show: I just professionally watch TV for a living.

Drama Series Nominees: 
Breaking Bad
Downton Abbey
Game of Thrones

House of Cards
Mad Men
True Detective

What Will Win: Breaking Bad, because it’s the absolute last time it will be nominated and they will want to honor it and all its glory.
What Should Win: Game of Thrones, because it’s the best damn show on TV right now. However, there are plenty of opportunities for it to win in the future because it has many seasons left. 

Comedy Series:
The Big Bang Theory

Louie

Modern Family
Orange Is the New Black
Silicon Valley
Veep

What Will Win: Orange Is The New Black. It’s the new “cool” show to love and something has to break the Modern Family streak after all these years.
What Should Win: Orange Is The New Black. Out of all the choices, this season of this show has been absolutely brilliant, and a strong cast of female women never hurts either.

Lead Actor in a Drama

Bryan Cranston, Breaking Bad
Jeff Daniels, The Newsroom

Jon Hamm, Mad Men

Woody Harrelson, True Detective

Matthew McConaughey, True Detective

Kevin Spacey, House of Cards

Who Will Win: Bryan Cranston. Again, it’s the last time to honor him for Breaking Bad. Still, Matthew McConaughey is a very strong contender for this category, especially since Breaking Bad will get the Best Drama.
Who Should Win: Matthew McConaughey! Even though I had to watch the first episode a few times to figure out what he was saying, McConaughey was amazing in that show and is still high on his Oscar win.

Lead Actor in a Miniseries or Movie

Chiwetel Ejiofor, Dancing on the Edge
Martin Freeman, Fargo

Billy Bob Thornton, Fargo

Idris Elba, Luther

Mark Ruffalo, The Normal Heart

Benedict Cumberbatch, Sherlock: His Last Vow

Who Will Win: Billy Bob Thornton. Hollywood TV Academy loves to honor movie actors doing TV. 
Who Should Win: Benedict Cumberbatch, because Sherlock is actually one of the best shows on TV and no one in the history of forever has been a better Sherlock — and the last episode of season three was amazing.

Lead Actress in a Drama

Michelle Dockery, Downton Abbey

Julianna Margulies, The Good Wife

Claire Danes, Homeland

Robin Wright, House of Cards

Lizzy Caplan, Masters of Sex
Kerry Washington, Scandal

Who Will Win: Robin Wright. House of Cards had a great year and will unfortunately be overlooked in the other categories, so having Robin Wright win will honor the show in some way.
Who Should Win: Lizzy Caplan. We love a good female lead and Lizzy Caplan proved that she’s not just Janice Ian, but a damn good actress. Also, it takes real skill to act as though you find Michael Sheen sexy. Woof.

Lead Actress in a Miniseries or Movie

Jessica Lange, American Horror Story: Coven

Sarah Paulson, American Horror Story: Coven
Helena Bonham Carter, Burton and Taylor

Minnie Driver, Return to Zero
Kristen Wiig, The Spoils of Babylon
Cicely Tyson, The Trip to Bountiful

Who Will Win: Jessica Lange. The problem with this category is that it’s always very random and not many people take the time to watch the movies/mini-series, so I’m assuming they will vote with what they know.
Who Should Win: Jessica Lange. This season of AHS wasn’t great, but as usual Jessica Lange killed it as the Supreme. Since she only has one more season left, she should continue to dominate this category.

Lead Actor in a Comedy

Jim Parsons, The Big Bang Theory

Ricky Gervais, Derek

Matt LeBlanc, Episodes

Don Cheadle, House of Lies

Louis C.K., Louie
William H. Macy, Shameless

Who Will Win: Jim Parsons. The Academy loves Jim Parsons. He wins every year and there’s nothing new that’s so popular that it will push him out of the top spot.
Who Should Win: Ricky Gervais. It’s hard work to act out a mental disability. While I personally dislike Gervais, I think he did a great job in this show and should be recognized for it.

Lead Actress in a Comedy
Lena Dunham, Girls

Melissa McCarthy, Mike & Molly
Edie Falco, Nurse Jackie

Taylor Schilling, Orange Is the New Black

Amy Poehler, Parks and Recreation

Julia Louis-Dreyfus, Veep

Who Will Win: Julia Louis-Dreyfus. She is phenomenal on Veep, and everyone loves her in Hollywood. She is always a favorite.
Who Should Win: Amy Poehler long has she been in the shadow of Liz Lemon. Leslie Knope is hands down one of the best characters on television and deserves an award for it after all these years.

Variety Series
The Colbert Report

The Daily Show with Jon Stewart

Jimmy Kimmel Live

Real Time With Bill Maher

Saturday Night Live

The Tonight Show Starring Jimmy Fallon

What Will Win: The Colbert Report. The show is ending soon, therefore they will want to honor it.
What Should Win: The Colbert Report. It deserves to win!

Miniseries
American Horror Story: Coven

Bonnie & Clyde

Fargo

Luther

Treme

The White Queen

What Will Win: Fargo. There was a lot of buzz surrounding Fargo this year and compared to the rest on this list it has the best shot of winning.
What Should Win: Fargo. Like I said before, AHS wasn’t great and while I like Luther, I think that Fargo should take home the award this time around. Idris Elba’s got some time.

Television Movie
Killing Kennedy

Muhammad Ali's Greatest Fight

The Normal Heart

Sherlock: His Las Vow

The Trip to Bountiful

What Will Win: The Normal Heart. Making a movie about AIDS awareness is basically the same thing as when you play the AIDS card in Apples to Apples: It always wins.
What Should Win: The Normal Heart. AIDS awareness is important. I’m not that big of a biyatch.

Supporting Actor in a Drama

Aaron Paul, Breaking Bad
Jim Carter, Downton Abbey

Peter Dinklage, Game of Thrones

Josh Charles, The Good Wife

Mandy Patinkin, Homeland
Jon Voight, Ray Donovan

Who Will Win: Peter Dinklage. I know most people are hoping Aaron Paul gets it, but Peter Dinklage in Game of Thrones this season is unbeatable. Even the Academy can’t deny that.
Who Should Win: Peter Dinklage! If you haven’t seen his trial speech, Google it now. Then you will understand why he completely deserves the award this year. It was perfection.

Supporting Actress in a Drama

Anna Gunn, Breaking Bad

Maggie Smith, Downton Abbey

Joanne Froggatt, Downton Abbey
Lena Headey, Game of Thrones

Christine Baranski, The Good Wife
Christina Hendricks, Mad Men

Who Will Win: Anna Gunn will be another chance to honor Breaking Bad. The Downton Abbey girls normally cancel each other out as well.
Who Should Win: Lena Headey. Maybe I am biased toward GOT, but Headey was great this season and probably won’t have another shot at an Emmy, whereas Anna Gunn won last year.

Directing for a Drama
Tim Van Patten, Boardwalk Empire
Vince Gilligan, Breaking Bad

David Evans, Downton Abbey
Neil Marshall, Game of Thrones

Carl Franklin, House of Cards
Cary Joji Fukunaga, True Detective

Who Will Win: Cary Joji Fukunaga. Since Vince Gilligan will be getting recognized in other categories, they will give this one to True Detective.
Who Should Win: Cary Joji Fukunaga. Since True Detective isn’t winning for best drama, it should get awarded somewhere and everything about the directing was great. It’s probably extremely hard to direct two A-list Hollywood actors as well.

Supporting Actor in a Comedy

Andre Braugher, Brooklyn Nine-Nine
Adam Driver, Girls
Jesse Tyler Ferguson, Modern Family

Ty Burrell, Modern Family

Fred Armisen, Portlandia
Tony Hale, Veep

Who Will Win: Jesse Tyler Ferguson. He’s been nominated against his coworkers for five years now and he’s the only one who hasn’t won.
Who Should Win: Jesse Tyler Ferguson. I actually agree with this one because without him the Modern Family wouldn’t be as successful as it is.

Supporting Actress in a Comedy
Mayim Bialik, The Big Bang Theory
Julie Bowen, Modern Family

Allison Janney, Mom
Kate Mulgrew, Orange Is the New Black

Kate McKinnon, Saturday Night Live
Anna Chlumsky, Veep

Who Will Win: Kate Mulgrew. She had a huge season on OITNB and Julie Bowen has already won a couple times. No one else is being buzzed about.
Who Should Win: Kate Mulgrew. None of the other ones really stand out to me at this point and Red was a major character for OITNB this season.

Directing for a Comedy

Iain B. MacDonald, Episodes
Paris Barclay, Glee

Louis C.K., Louie
Gail Mancuso, Modern Family

Jodie Foster, Orange Is the New Black

Mike Judge, Silicon Valley

Who Will Win: Jodie Foster, yet another movie actor turned director. The show is already taking home everything, they will want to give it to Foster.
Who Should Win: Gail Mancuso. Modern Family is still amazing and should be recognized for that.

Supporting Actor in a Miniseries or Movie
Colin Hanks, Fargo

Jim Parsons, The Normal Heart

Joe Mantello, The Normal Heart

Alfred Molina, The Normal Heart
Matt Bomer, The Normal Heart

Martin Freeman, Sherlock: His Last Vow

Who Will Win: Colin Hanks. I think The Normal Heart guys will actually cancel each other out here leaving the win to Colin or Martin.
Who Should Win: Matt Bomer! I honestly wouldn’t care who wins this award, but Matt Bomer is the perfect human being and I would like to watch him speak, therefore he should win.

Supporting Actress in a Miniseries or Movie

Frances Conroy, American Horror Story: Coven
Kathy Bates, American Horror Story: Coven
Angela Bassett, American Horror Story: Coven

Allison Tolman, Fargo

Ellen Burstyn, Flowers in the Attic

Julia Roberts, The Normal Heart

Who Will Win: Julia Roberts. Again, they love when movie actors do something with TV and there’s already tons of buzz around The Normal Heart, so there is a good chance Roberts will take this home.
Who Should Win: Kathy Bates. Kathy Bates playing an immortal racist. I don’t think I need to elaborate.

Guest Actress in a Comedy
Natasha Lyonne, Orange Is the New Black
Uzo Aduba, Orange Is the New Black
Laverne Cox, Orange Is the New Black
Tina Fey, Saturday Night Live
Melissa McCarthy, Saturday Night Live
Joan Cusack, Shameless

Who Will Win: Uzo Aduba, because Crazy Eyes is hands down the best character on OITNB ... but they may go with Laverne Cox and make a statement, making Cox the first transgender Emmy winner. 
Who Should Win: Laverne Cox. I want to see some history in the making here. Plus I absolutely adore Sophia on the show. She’s great!

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