Will These Couples Beat the Odds?

Will These Couples Beat the Odds?

Think your relationships are hard to maintain? Try having paparazzi follow your every move.

The Judges

Rachel Greenwald
Matchmaker and author of Find a Husband After 35 (Using What I learned at Harvard Business School)

Pamela Paul
Relationship expert and author of The Starter Marriage.

Anonymous Odds Maker
From popular betting site bodog.com

The Odds

Kid Rock and Pamela Anderson (Odds 20/1)
RG: Any couple that has wedding celebrations in Beverly Hills, Detroit, and Nashville, is focused on making a statement in the public realm, not creating a lasting, private bond between two people. They won't last.
PP: They have a very small chance of success. Stepchildren are involved and they've already gone through public breakups.

Chris Martin and Gwyneth Paltrow (Odds 1/1)
RG: She met him shortly after her father died. It was a terribly emotional time in her life, and she probably saw things in him that reminded her of her dad's best qualities. Sharing a time of tragedy bonds two people forever. They'll make it.
PP: Their chances of making it are medium to high. They married at an appropriate age and having two kids together tends to bond a couple.

Nicole Kidman and Keith Urban (7/3)
RG: She waited five years to remarry after her divorce—and not rushing into the arms of another after heartbreak bodes well for the future. They also have similar backgrounds, which helps them understand each other's values and professional pressures. They'll make it last.
PP: They've got middling to poor chances of making it. She has a previous marriage, he's a recovering addict, and there are stepchildren involved. On the plus side, they did get married at an older age.

Guy Ritchie and Madonna (4/1)
RG: She is the master of reinvention, which is a great skill for success in marriage. There are many phases and shifts in marriage, and one needs to adapt, to evolve. Despite her public image as "the wild child," they'll make it.
PP: They have middle to low chances of making it. There is an age difference, she was previously married, they've got cross-cultural differences, and there is a stepchild involved

Ashton Kutcher and Demi Moore (13/7)
RG: It's hard to find great men in the same peer group who are looking for a wife over 40. Their union proves that love can come in unexpected packages if you're open-minded. They'll make it.
PP: Though she was married with kids, her marriage was relatively long and stable. They have middling chances of making it

Cameron Diaz and Justin Timberlake (4/1)
RG: Any couple who can claim victory for "The Best Burp Award" (Nickelodeon Kid's Choice Awards; she won in 2002, he won in 2003) has a great sense of humor. Despite the age difference, they have fun together, and it's important to go through life with a partner who makes you laugh and feel goofy. They'll make it.
PP: They have middle to low chances of making it. They've got a significant age difference and will always be in the shadow of the "Britney Factor."

Beyoncé Knowles and Jay-Z (7/3)
RG: Keeping their relationship private is a sign that it's actually important to them. Her parents have been married 24 years, which is another good sign: she knows what it takes to see a relationship through good times and bad. Despite her youth and his bad-boy public image, they'll make it.
PP: They have a significant age difference, and she has not yet reached the average age of first marriage. The younger people are when they first get married, the more likely they are to end up in divorce. But these two have been dating for quite a while. You never know—they might make it.

Brad Pitt and Angelina Jolie (19/4)
RG: In all my years as a dating coach and matchmaker, I've never once seen the "other woman" end up happy in the relationship she's stolen. They won't last.
PP: They have middling chances of making it. She was married twice, he was also married, and they have high-powered careers that require extensive travel. On the plus side it seems like they are serious about a life-long commitment because they have adopted kids and a birth child.

Katie Holmes and Tom Cruise (30/1)
RG: She was starstruck: blinded by wealth, good looks, fame. It's easy to think that infatuation is love, but it doesn't last. Compatibility is about what happens when two people are alone. When the cameras stop rolling, my guess is that they have little in common. They won't last.
PP: They have poor chances of success. There is a huge age difference, a previous marriage, and stepchildren.

Johnny Depp and Vanessa Paradis (3/7)
RG: After eight years and two kids, he still refuses to seal the deal with marriage. Even though he clearly adores her, this guy is keeping his options open. She'd be wise to move on if she wants a formal commitment. They won't last.
PP: Even though they are not married, unmarried partnership with kids are more common in Europe, where they live. These two have high chances of success.

This article was originally published at . Reprinted with permission from the author.